Live Calculator

How large is your
retirement gap?

Drag the sliders. Watch your 25-year trajectory redraw in real time. The red shading is the cost of doing nothing.

$3.0M
$500K$20M
$180K
$60K$600K
25-Year Gap$0K
Annual Shortfall-$180K
Optimized Withdrawal$0/yr
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Optimized Portfolio
Do Nothing
Opportunity Cost
$0$0$1$1$1Today+5yr+10yr+15yr+20yr+25yr
Optimized: 7.1% net·Do Nothing: 4.2% net·Inflation: 3.1%·Withdrawal: 3.8% SWR·Horizon: 25 years

Fee drag (avg advisor)

1.2%/yr

vs. 0.3% at Allocate

Tax alpha available

+0.8%/yr

tax-loss harvesting

Rebalancing drift

±4.2%

typical unmanaged

Sequence-of-returns risk

High

without buffer strategy

Section 01 — Market Context

Where markets stand
as of February 2026

Data as of Feb 25, 2026Download Report

CPI YoY

3.1%

+0.2%vs. 2.9% prior

10-Yr Treasury

4.42%

-0.08%real yield 1.3%

S&P 500 P/E

22.4×

+1.1×20-yr avg: 17.8×

VIX

14.8

-2.3below 20 = calm

Benchmark Returns

AssetYTD1Y

S&P 500 Index

SPX

+3.2%+24.8%

Target-Date 2040 (avg)

TDF

+2.4%+13.2%

US Real Estate (REIT)

VNQ

+2.1%+12.3%

MSCI All-World ex-US

ACWX

+1.8%+9.4%

TIPS (Inflation-Linked)

SCHP

+0.6%+3.4%

US Aggregate Bond

AGG

-0.4%+2.1%

Returns are total return, annualized for multi-year periods. Source: Bloomberg, as of Feb 2026.

Annual Fee Drag

What you pay vs. what you keep

Allocate (tax-managed)0.28%
Low-cost RIA (avg)0.65%
Target-date fund0.68%
Full-service broker1.15%
Typical wirehouse1.42%

On a $3M portfolio, the difference between 0.28% and 1.42% fees is $34,200/year — $855K over 25 years.

CPI Trend

12-month rolling

3.1%
Fed Target 2.0%
+1.1% above target· TIPS allocation recommended

Section 02 — Portfolio Construction

Three model allocations,
stress-tested to breaking point

Download Backtest Data
Conservative

Capital Preservation

Designed for near-retirement clients and endowments prioritizing inflation-adjusted stability over growth. Stress-tested against 2008, 2020, and rising-rate scenarios.

Sharpe Ratio

0.82

Max Drawdown

-11.4%

10Y CAGR (net)

5.8%

Expense Ratio

0.21%

Allocation

US Treasuries28%
TIPS12%
US Large Cap28%
Intl Developed14%
Short-Duration10%
Real Assets8%
Max drawdown held to -11.4% in 2022
Positive real return in 18 of 20 years
Tax-loss harvest: avg +0.6%/yr alpha

Designed for

Dual-income couples 58–65, small endowments

Moderate

Balanced Growth

The workhorse allocation for founders with a 15–20 year runway. Factor-tilted equity exposure with systematic rebalancing and tax-managed bond laddering.

Sharpe Ratio

1.04

Max Drawdown

-19.8%

10Y CAGR (net)

8.4%

Expense Ratio

0.28%

Allocation

US Large Cap36%
US Small/Mid12%
Intl Developed18%
Emerging Markets8%
Aggregate Bond18%
Real Assets8%
Sharpe 1.04 vs. 60/40 benchmark 0.71
10-yr backtest: 8.4% CAGR net of fees
Factor tilt: +0.9% annualized vs. cap-weight

Designed for

Founders 40–55, dual-income couples 45–55

Aggressive

Concentrated Growth

Maximum long-run compounding for founders under 50 with high risk tolerance and a long liquidity runway. Includes direct indexing for tax efficiency at scale.

Sharpe Ratio

0.93

Max Drawdown

-32.6%

10Y CAGR (net)

11.2%

Expense Ratio

0.32%

Allocation

US Equity (DI)48%
Intl Developed22%
Emerging Markets14%
Real Assets10%
Short Bonds6%
Direct indexing: ~$40K avg annual tax savings on $5M
10-yr backtest: 11.2% CAGR net of fees
Rebalancing frequency: quarterly with tax-aware algorithm

Designed for

Post-exit founders 35–50, $5M+ portfolios

60/40 Benchmark Sharpe

0.71

Allocate avg Sharpe

0.93

Backtest period

2014–2024

Includes

2020 crash, 2022 rate shock

Section 03 — Tax Efficiency

The tax bill you're paying
without knowing it

Download Tax Analysis

Annual Tax Cost Comparison

Based on $3M portfolio, 23.8% LTCG rate

Typical brokerage (unmanaged)

Unrealized gains accumulate, triggering taxable events on rebalancing and dividend reinvestment

$612K

Traditional RIA (tax-aware)

Periodic tax-loss harvesting but no systematic direct indexing or asset location optimization

$261K

Allocate (tax-managed)

Daily tax-loss harvesting, direct indexing, asset location, and gain deferral via opportunity zones

$91K

10-Year Tax Savings with Allocate

vs. typical unmanaged brokerage account

$521K
StrategyAnnual5-Year10-Year
Typical brokerage$48.2K$267K$612K
Traditional RIA$22.4K$118K$261K
Allocate$8.6K$43K$91K

Tax Management Toolkit

Daily Tax-Loss Harvesting

+0.6–0.8%/yr

Systematic realization of losses to offset gains

Direct Indexing

+0.4–0.9%/yr

Own individual stocks, harvest at position level

Asset Location

+0.2–0.4%/yr

Bonds in tax-deferred, equities in taxable

Gain Deferral

+0.1–0.3%/yr

Opportunity zones and exchange funds

Total Tax Alpha (est.)+1.3–2.4%/yr

20-Year Compounding Impact

$3M portfolio, same gross return

Tax-managedUnmanaged

Managed (20yr)

$11.4M

Unmanaged (20yr)

$8.7M

Full Portfolio Analysis

Download your personalized
portfolio diagnostic

A 12-page analysis built from your calculator inputs — including asset allocation recommendations, projected tax savings, fee audit, and a 25-year retirement runway model.

Retirement Gap Analysis — Your projected shortfall vs. optimized scenario
Portfolio Stress Test — 2008, 2020, and 2022 scenario modeling
Fee Audit — Estimated annual drag from current holdings
Tax Efficiency Score — Unrealized gain exposure and harvest opportunities
Allocation Recommendation — Which of our 3 models fits your profile

$2.4B

Assets Under Advisory

847

Client Households

11.2%

Avg Net Return (10yr)

1
2

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